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2012 NBA Playoff Preview

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Western Conference


(1) San Antonio Spurs vs (8) Utah Jazz


What a season for the San Antonio Spurs. With the shortened season and games pretty much every other day, many thought the older Spurs may face some difficulties. But with great coaching from Gregg Popovich, and an incredible year from Tony Parker, they’re the best team in the Western Conference. However, they do face a dangerous team in the Utah Jazz who will be looking to build off great seasons from Gordon Hayward, Paul Millsap, and Al Jefferson to give the Spurs some trouble. I wouldn’t expect the Spurs to get upset as they did last year, but I think Utah is going to give them some trouble in the paint, as Jefferson has been a beast down low this year, and Tim Duncan’s body is far from what it used to be. That being said, Tony Parker and Manu Ginobli look as good as ever, so I see them moving on after a great first round series.

Prediction: Spurs in 6

(2) Oklahoma City Thunder vs (7) Dallas Mavericks

It seems like once again we’re going into the NBA playoffs not giving the Dallas Mavericks any respect. However, this is not the same team that won the championship last year, and unfortunately, they’re facing who are many people’s pick to make the finals in the Thunder. Dirk does look good once again after really struggling out the gate this season, but even as good as Dirk can be, this conference belongs to Kevin Durant – oh yeah, and Russell Westbrook’s pretty good too.

Last playoffs we saw a lot of controversy in the amount of shots Westbrook was taking in comparison to Durant. However, Westbrook looks to have matured quite a bit, and despite still shooting more than Durant, things seem just fine as they are averaging a combined 51.6 points per game. Dirk will be able to steal a game, but I think that might be it.

Prediction: Thunder in 5

(3) LA Lakers vs (6) Denver Nuggets

The Denver Nuggets don’t have any real superstars, but coach George Karl seems to have his team bought in as once again the Nuggets make the playoffs after a surprisingly solid season. On the other hand, the Lakers – who many counted out before the season began…cough cough Bill Simmons cough – have had a very respectable year with Kobe placing second in the scoring race, and Andrew Bynum playing like a beast for most games, and a bonehead for the rest. If Kobe shoots a bit less and feeds the beast that is Andrew Bynum, this will be a short series. But if he decides to take every shot…well, it’s Kobe, and I they’ll still probably win. Kobe doin’ work.

Prediction: Lakers in 5

(4) Memphis Grizzlies vs (5) LA Clippers

This series has the potential to be the most exciting series of the first round. From the moment the lockout ended until now, the Clippers have been one of the most talked about teams in the NBA. With the addition of Chris Paul to a team built on the freak talent that is Blake Griffin, there’s a lot to like about this team. And despite having a less than spectacular season with plenty of ups and downs, the Clippers are back in the playoffs.
 
Unfortunately for them, they face the Memphis Grizzlies who have only gotten better since their very respectable playoff run last season, and they look like one of the most dangerous teams in the league. In terms of depth, there may be no one deeper than the Grizz, and if their key bigs Zach Randolph and Marc Gasol play as dominant as they did last post-season, then this Clippers team is in trouble. However the Grizzlies need to get past one huge obstacle: Chris Paul. CP3 is a maniac in the playoffs and has shown that when he turns it on he can single-handedly beat any team in the league. Thankfully for the Grizzlies, they have arguably the best perimeter defender in the league in Tony Allen, and Ohio State alumni, Mike Conley Jr. has really started to come into his own on both ends of the floor and may be able to somewhat contain Paul when Allen is resting or in foul trouble. However, I still expect a few of those lights-out games from Chris Paul, but unfortunately I don’t think it will be enough.   

Prediction: Grizzlies in 7


Eastern Conference

(1) Chicago Bulls vs (8) Philadelphia 76ers

Last year, the Chicago Bulls were riding a lot of hype going into the playoffs. Derrick Rose was cruising towards his first MVP trophy, they finished with the best record in the NBA, and many had them as the favorite to win it all. Last year didn’t end up being everything they hoped for, but this year they’re going into the playoffs being looked at a bit differently. Even with Rose missing a large chunk of the season, the Bulls are tied with the Spurs for the best in the league. The difference is, nobody is really talking about them this time around. The Bulls are most likely enjoying their rare underdog status, however that won’t kick in until they potentially face the Heat in the Eastern Conference Finals. As for right now, they face the 76ers, who have stumbled into the playoffs after a great start to the season. The 76ers will be out matched in every aspect of this series, and I don’t expect them to do much damage to a Bulls team that will be playing with a championship-or-bust attitude in these playoffs.

Prediction: Bulls in 4

(2) Miami Heat vs (7) New York Knicks

There is so much to look forward to in this series that I desperately hope it isn’t a sweep. If you were to ask me (a Knicks fan) two months ago if the Knicks had a hope in winning even a game against this Heat team I would say “absolutely not.” But, there is no denying how good the Knicks have looked since Mike D’Antoni quit the team and Mike Woodson took over. Carmelo Anthony has been lights out, Iman Shumpert and Landry Fields have been playing great on both ends of the floor, and we’ve seen the emergence of the legend that is Steve Novak. Many thought that once Jeremy Lin went down, so would their playoff chances, but this team has adapted to change very well and looks like a brand new team. All that being said, the Heat will be playing with a chip on their shoulder from last year, and LeBron James has had one of the greatest statistical seasons of all time, so the Knicks will be in trouble. Unfortunately I expect LeBron to simply play too well for the Knicks to handle, and although they may be able to steal a couple of games, the Heat seem to once again be the team to beat this post-season.

Prediction: Heat in 6

(3) Indiana Pacers vs (6) Orlando Magic

Believe it or not, this might be the most lopsided match-up of the first round. The Pacers have had a great season and have played consistently well all season long. The Magic have been a nightmare, thanks entirely to Dwight Howard. Howard has reached LeBron James status in terms of being hated, and with the distraction he causes to his team I’m not sure if his season-ending back injury is a bad thing or a good thing for the Magic. But then I remember how good of a basketball player Howard is despite his boneheadedness, and it’s clear this is going to be rough for the Magic. They don’t have anyone who can create their own shots, and without Howard they don’t really have much of an identity. The Pacers are deep, and unlike the Magic, they play well as a team. This series says sweep all over it.

Prediction: Pacers in 4

(4) Boston Celtics vs (5) Atlanta Hawks

Over the past few seasons everyone seems to share two opinions about the NBA playoffs: The Celtics are too old, and the Hawks won’t make it past the first round. In this series, something’s gotta give. And with the way the Celtics have been playing (which has been very well), it looks like the Hawks won’t make it past the first round. Kevin Garnett has had a great year, especially defensively, and despite a Dirk-like start to the season (as in seemingly out of shape), Paul Pierce is playing like he should, as one of the best players in the league. Rajon Rondo still can’t shoot, but he’s still one of the most talented players in this league, and I would not be surprised to see a memorable triple-double from him at some point in this series. As for the Hawks, they’re still very dependent on the extremely overrated and overpaid Joe Johnson, so obviously things aren’t looking good for them.

Prediction: Celtics in 5