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2012 NBA Playoff Preview

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Western Conference


(1) San Antonio Spurs vs (8) Utah Jazz


What a season for the San Antonio Spurs. With the shortened season and games pretty much every other day, many thought the older Spurs may face some difficulties. But with great coaching from Gregg Popovich, and an incredible year from Tony Parker, they’re the best team in the Western Conference. However, they do face a dangerous team in the Utah Jazz who will be looking to build off great seasons from Gordon Hayward, Paul Millsap, and Al Jefferson to give the Spurs some trouble. I wouldn’t expect the Spurs to get upset as they did last year, but I think Utah is going to give them some trouble in the paint, as Jefferson has been a beast down low this year, and Tim Duncan’s body is far from what it used to be. That being said, Tony Parker and Manu Ginobli look as good as ever, so I see them moving on after a great first round series.

Prediction: Spurs in 6

(2) Oklahoma City Thunder vs (7) Dallas Mavericks

It seems like once again we’re going into the NBA playoffs not giving the Dallas Mavericks any respect. However, this is not the same team that won the championship last year, and unfortunately, they’re facing who are many people’s pick to make the finals in the Thunder. Dirk does look good once again after really struggling out the gate this season, but even as good as Dirk can be, this conference belongs to Kevin Durant – oh yeah, and Russell Westbrook’s pretty good too.

Last playoffs we saw a lot of controversy in the amount of shots Westbrook was taking in comparison to Durant. However, Westbrook looks to have matured quite a bit, and despite still shooting more than Durant, things seem just fine as they are averaging a combined 51.6 points per game. Dirk will be able to steal a game, but I think that might be it.

Prediction: Thunder in 5

(3) LA Lakers vs (6) Denver Nuggets

The Denver Nuggets don’t have any real superstars, but coach George Karl seems to have his team bought in as once again the Nuggets make the playoffs after a surprisingly solid season. On the other hand, the Lakers – who many counted out before the season began…cough cough Bill Simmons cough – have had a very respectable year with Kobe placing second in the scoring race, and Andrew Bynum playing like a beast for most games, and a bonehead for the rest. If Kobe shoots a bit less and feeds the beast that is Andrew Bynum, this will be a short series. But if he decides to take every shot…well, it’s Kobe, and I they’ll still probably win. Kobe doin’ work.

Prediction: Lakers in 5

(4) Memphis Grizzlies vs (5) LA Clippers

This series has the potential to be the most exciting series of the first round. From the moment the lockout ended until now, the Clippers have been one of the most talked about teams in the NBA. With the addition of Chris Paul to a team built on the freak talent that is Blake Griffin, there’s a lot to like about this team. And despite having a less than spectacular season with plenty of ups and downs, the Clippers are back in the playoffs.
 
Unfortunately for them, they face the Memphis Grizzlies who have only gotten better since their very respectable playoff run last season, and they look like one of the most dangerous teams in the league. In terms of depth, there may be no one deeper than the Grizz, and if their key bigs Zach Randolph and Marc Gasol play as dominant as they did last post-season, then this Clippers team is in trouble. However the Grizzlies need to get past one huge obstacle: Chris Paul. CP3 is a maniac in the playoffs and has shown that when he turns it on he can single-handedly beat any team in the league. Thankfully for the Grizzlies, they have arguably the best perimeter defender in the league in Tony Allen, and Ohio State alumni, Mike Conley Jr. has really started to come into his own on both ends of the floor and may be able to somewhat contain Paul when Allen is resting or in foul trouble. However, I still expect a few of those lights-out games from Chris Paul, but unfortunately I don’t think it will be enough.   

Prediction: Grizzlies in 7


Eastern Conference

(1) Chicago Bulls vs (8) Philadelphia 76ers

Last year, the Chicago Bulls were riding a lot of hype going into the playoffs. Derrick Rose was cruising towards his first MVP trophy, they finished with the best record in the NBA, and many had them as the favorite to win it all. Last year didn’t end up being everything they hoped for, but this year they’re going into the playoffs being looked at a bit differently. Even with Rose missing a large chunk of the season, the Bulls are tied with the Spurs for the best in the league. The difference is, nobody is really talking about them this time around. The Bulls are most likely enjoying their rare underdog status, however that won’t kick in until they potentially face the Heat in the Eastern Conference Finals. As for right now, they face the 76ers, who have stumbled into the playoffs after a great start to the season. The 76ers will be out matched in every aspect of this series, and I don’t expect them to do much damage to a Bulls team that will be playing with a championship-or-bust attitude in these playoffs.

Prediction: Bulls in 4

(2) Miami Heat vs (7) New York Knicks

There is so much to look forward to in this series that I desperately hope it isn’t a sweep. If you were to ask me (a Knicks fan) two months ago if the Knicks had a hope in winning even a game against this Heat team I would say “absolutely not.” But, there is no denying how good the Knicks have looked since Mike D’Antoni quit the team and Mike Woodson took over. Carmelo Anthony has been lights out, Iman Shumpert and Landry Fields have been playing great on both ends of the floor, and we’ve seen the emergence of the legend that is Steve Novak. Many thought that once Jeremy Lin went down, so would their playoff chances, but this team has adapted to change very well and looks like a brand new team. All that being said, the Heat will be playing with a chip on their shoulder from last year, and LeBron James has had one of the greatest statistical seasons of all time, so the Knicks will be in trouble. Unfortunately I expect LeBron to simply play too well for the Knicks to handle, and although they may be able to steal a couple of games, the Heat seem to once again be the team to beat this post-season.

Prediction: Heat in 6

(3) Indiana Pacers vs (6) Orlando Magic

Believe it or not, this might be the most lopsided match-up of the first round. The Pacers have had a great season and have played consistently well all season long. The Magic have been a nightmare, thanks entirely to Dwight Howard. Howard has reached LeBron James status in terms of being hated, and with the distraction he causes to his team I’m not sure if his season-ending back injury is a bad thing or a good thing for the Magic. But then I remember how good of a basketball player Howard is despite his boneheadedness, and it’s clear this is going to be rough for the Magic. They don’t have anyone who can create their own shots, and without Howard they don’t really have much of an identity. The Pacers are deep, and unlike the Magic, they play well as a team. This series says sweep all over it.

Prediction: Pacers in 4

(4) Boston Celtics vs (5) Atlanta Hawks

Over the past few seasons everyone seems to share two opinions about the NBA playoffs: The Celtics are too old, and the Hawks won’t make it past the first round. In this series, something’s gotta give. And with the way the Celtics have been playing (which has been very well), it looks like the Hawks won’t make it past the first round. Kevin Garnett has had a great year, especially defensively, and despite a Dirk-like start to the season (as in seemingly out of shape), Paul Pierce is playing like he should, as one of the best players in the league. Rajon Rondo still can’t shoot, but he’s still one of the most talented players in this league, and I would not be surprised to see a memorable triple-double from him at some point in this series. As for the Hawks, they’re still very dependent on the extremely overrated and overpaid Joe Johnson, so obviously things aren’t looking good for them.

Prediction: Celtics in 5

And We're Off

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Christmas has come and gone, and so has the first two days of the new NBA season. Every team other than Utah and Atlanta have played at least one game, and seeing how neither team is really all that relevant in the league this season, I thought I'd make a few notables for the more noteworthy teams so far in the 2011-2012 NBA season.

Miami Heat
 
The championship is theirs to lose. I find it very difficult to argue against the Heat being the best team in the league. If LeBron James played like LeBron James in the Finals last year, there's no question in my mind that things would've ended differently. But he choked, so they didn't. But this year the majority of the team is still in tact, they have a year under their belt, and with the addition of world-class defender and leader, Shane Battier, they've only gotten better. By dominating the defending champion Mavericks on Christmas Day, the Heats quest for not one, not two, not three... championships is still moving in full force. 


Dallas Mavericks

The Mavs run last year was amazing. Rarely do you see an NBA team generate such fan support in the NBA finals, but that's how much people liked this team in last years finals, and hated Miami. Nevertheless, they're the defending champs, but by losing key players like Tyson Chandler, and J.J. Barea, and picking up Lamar Odom and Vince Carter, the team looks a lot different. The new look Mavs have lost their first two games of the season, and they are certainly not playing like defending champions. I can't see this team having much of a chance to repeat with the other overwhelming heavyweights in the league this year, but then again, they've definitely heard that one before...


New York Knicks

If I haven't mentioned it before, the Knicks are my favorite team in the NBA, and back in the days where big things were expected of Eddy Curry, it was embarrassing. But how sweet it is when things turn around, and with the additions of Tyson Chandler and Baron Davis (who is out with a herniated disc in his back), the Knicks can actually be considered as title contenders. The Knicks looked great against the Boston Rondo's...I mean, Celtics. The Celtics and Knicks are known for having close, physical games, but the difference between the Knicks now and the Knicks of old is that in these close games, the new Knicks actually came out on top. Carmelo Anthony can score from anywhere on the floor, a healthy Amare Stoudemire is one of the most complete players in the NBA, and Tyson Chandler is going to be able to provide some much needed defense down low. The one issue is at the coaching position. Mike D'Antoni is a great run and gun coach; but that is not this team. These Knicks need to run their offense though Anthony with isolation plays, and pick and rolls with Amare. Granted, they did do a lot of that on Christmas Day, but if you’re not playing 7 seconds or less basketball, what’s the benefit of having D'Antoni as coach. So, Phil Jackson, I'm sure you're enjoying retirement, but come to Madison Square Garden and bring the championship back to New York.

Toronto Raptors

Way to beat the Cavs...you're still terrible, but I love you anyways. The Raptors are in the rebuilding stage and have players that are too immature to win games, or too mature to play more than 20 minutes a game...because they’re really old. And although it doesn't bode well for their record this year, the young guys, especially DeMar DeRozan and Ed Davis, will be able to learn from the vets, and with a good crop coming up in the draft, and Jonas Valanciunas on the roster next year, things will be looking up for the Raptors. 

LA Clippers

I still stand by saying the Clippers will be the most exciting team in the league. But clearly from their game against Golden State they need to work out some kinks. Their defense was awful, they missed so many free throws, Chauncy Billups took way too many shots, and I think the team expects a lot more from Chris Paul. But with that much talent, I really hope they figure it out, because it would be quite the spectacle. 

LA Lakers

This is not a deep roster, and combine that with an aging Kobe, no Lamar Odom, a fragile Andrew Bynum, and too much responsibility on a guy who changed his name to Metta World Peace, and I can't see the Lakers being one of the top teams in the league this year, or even in LA for that matter. 

Golden State Warriors

I've watched two Warriors games already this season, which doubles my season total from last year, and I noticed a couple things: the fans are awesome, and the team has some elite offensive talent. If Mark Jackson can teach this team to play defense, this might be a great team one day. In the meantime, man are they fun to watch. 

Boston Celtics

Rajon Rondo is unbelievable. He single handedly kept them close against the Knicks, and I think he's the best driving point guard in the league. But losing Jeff Green is going to hurt really bad for this team. They don't have young enough legs to place high in the standings, and unless Jermaine O'Neal has an all-star season and playoffs, I can't see them being tough enough down low to do any damage in the post season. 

Chicago Bulls

Derrick Rose showed why he was the MVP last year. It seems like he keeps getting better and better, and this is going to be a great team come playoff time. But as good as he has been in his career, Carlos Boozer just doesn't seem to click on this team. I wouldn't be surprised if Boozer is used as trade bait if he continues to struggle throughout the season. 




Oklahoma City Thunder

Kevin Durant was the MVP of the lockout. It seemed like every day KD was going off in an exhibition game of some sort, highlighted by a legendary performance at Rucker Park. Just like the off-season, Durant is considered as the favorite to win MVP this season. It’s his time. He might be the very best scorer in the NBA, and with help from Russell Westbrook, and an emerging James Harden, OKC is going score a lot of points. And with defensive stars Kendrick Perkins, Serge Ibaka, and Nick Collision, teams won’t be scoring too many points either.

Minnesota Timberwolves

It's great to see this team look relevant again. With Kevin Love, Derrick Williams, and a very impressive Ricky Rubio as a nucleus, the T Wolves might find their way out of the NBA basement within the next couple of seasons. 

Despite its length, the 2011-2012 NBA season should be a good one. Plenty of storylines, and plenty of talent. 



On a different note, Drew Brees broke Dan Marino's single season passing record on Monday Night Football. This alone was fantastic, but from a sports fans perspective, his post game speech in the dressing room was one of the most genuine sports moments I've seen all year. To top it off, there's hilarious unintentional sexual innuendo by Brees. Awesome. Check it out.






Time Off

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It's been over a week since the first semester of my Creative Communications journey has ended, and things have been surprisingly lively in my life since then. So that being said, here are a few thoughts from my past week.


  • The best thing I did this week, and actually all of this year, was go to Vancouver to see hip-hop heavyweights Jay-Z and Kanye West, otherwise known as The Throne at Rogers Arena. It was the single greatest concert experience I think I will ever have. The nearly three hour long show didn't have any opening acts, it was just Ye' and Jay rolling out their extensive library of collaborative and solo hits, keeping the sold out crowd on their feet the entire time. Some highlights were the performances of Power, All of the Lights, 99 Problems, and N***as in Paris, which was performed five times in a row for an unforgettable encore. Another highlight was the set, which consisted of two massive high definition screens, extravagant lighting and pyro, and two hydraulic cube stages that slowly raised the hip-hop legends 25 feet into the air as they performed (the cubes were also video screens). In retrospect I probably should have done a separate post on this experience, but I'm just going to move on.

  • Vancouver is a beautiful city. I really do like it there. But I really couldn't handle knowing that a high majority of the people around me were Vancouver Canucks fans. I truly despise that team, and you will surely hear me complain about them on this blog come playoff time. 
                            

  • I went to the Jets vs Capitals game last week, and got to witness it from front row seats behind the net. It was a dream come true. Ovechkin was two feet away from me and even with the glass separating us I still felt star struck. 

  • The guy behind me at the hockey game was on a nickname basis with the entire Jets team. Throughout the game he hollered, "Lets go Kaner! Here we go Glassy! Skate Welly! Com'n Wheels!" Oddly enough he kept it formal with one Jets forward when he simply yelled, "Good job, Stapleton."

  • The NBA is almost back, and I have a few things to say about that. The LA Clippers are going to be the most exciting team in the NBA. The Washington Wizards new jerseys are the best in the league. My New York Knicks will be a powerhouse this season with the additions of Tyson Chandler and Baron Davis, which excites me. My Toronto Raptors are going to be terrible, which depresses me. With the excitement of free agency, amnesty clause, and players moving from team to team, we're all starting to forget about the lockout. As grim as it looked a couple months ago, I don't think the NBA is going to be losing any momentum from 2011's incredibly exciting post-season. 
                  
  • Books on Amazon are significantly cheaper than Chapters. 

  • There is a concussion epidemic in the NHL, and some could argue professional sports in general. I don't know how they fix this without any good luck, but Ken Dryden has some good perspective on Grantland.

  • Even if the Packers didn't lose, and had an undefeated season, Tim Tebow would still be the biggest story of the NFL season. It doesn't make sense how he manages to win games the way he does.

  • My favorite sports broadcasters Sid Seixeiro and Tim Micallef are back on the radio, this time with Sportsnet on The Fan 590. Unlike their previous gig at The Score, they are now censored by public radio. But even without Sid's cuss filled rants, and their usual uncensored content, they still know their sports, and it's great to hear them on the air again. 

Time off has been great for me so far. And with Christmas just days away, it seems like it's going to stay that way. So until I get back to the daily grind, I'm going to continue to enjoy myself, and I hope you all do as well.